Monday, December 14, 2009

Garrison Poll

Interesting how a meaningless 1st game of the season can be a pre-cursor for things to come. Most probably thought little of Murray State's loss @ Cal on 11/5 however the spread in that game was only 5 (75-70) and Murray State hasn't lost since. This victory by Cal is the Lac-10's best win to this point. The biggest beneficiary of this futility is the Mountain West Conference.
It has gone from possible to probable that the Lac-10 will only receive 2 bids to the NCAA tournament, and using an argument of geographic equality those extra bids could go the MVC. Don't kid yourself the NCAA Tournament Committee takes those things into consideration.
Aside from Murray State, some other schools to keep an eye on as the season progresses are William & Mary (Colonial) who has a win at Wake Forest, and Western Carolina (Southern) who just won at Louisville. Both schools come from conferences with recent tournament success.
Happy Holidays.

NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Garrison Poll Wk-6

1. Kentucky (10-0)
2. Syracuse (10-0)
3. Purdue (9-0)
4. Kansas (9-0)
5. Texas (8-0)
6. Duke (7-1)
7. Villanova (9-1)
8. Georgetown (8-0)
9. West Virginia (7-0)
10. North Carolina (8-2)
11. Florida (8-1)
12. Michigan State (7-2)
13. New Mexico (10-0)
14. Kansas State (9-1)
15. Gonzaga (8-2)
16. Mississippi (8-1)
17. Wisconsin (7-2)
18. Ohio State (7-2)
19. Northwestern (7-1)
20. Texas Tech (9-0)
21. Georgia Tech (7-1)
22. UNLV (7-1)
23. Connecticut (6-2)
24. Tennessee (7-1)
25. Butler (7-3)

others receiving consideration: Clemson (8-2), Charlotte (8-1), Illinois (8-2), Northern Iowa (7-1), Texas A&M (8-2)

Monday, November 30, 2009

College Basketball Garrison Poll Week 4

College Basketball Garrison Poll Week 4

1. Duke (6-0)
2. West Virginia (5-0)
3. Villanova (6-0)
4. Kansas (5-0)
5. Kentucky (6-0)
6. Texas (5-0)
7. Purdue (5-0)
8. Syracuse (6-0)
9. Michigan State (5-1)
10. Gonzaga (5-1)
11. North Carolina (6-1)
12. Tennessee (5-1)
13. Washington (5-0)
14. Florida (6-0)
15. Ohio State (5-1)
16. Connecticut (4-1)
17. Georgetown (4-0)
18. Cincinnati (4-1)
19. UNLV (5-0)
20. Texas A&M (5-1)
21. Clemson (6-1)
22. Portland (5-1)
23. Mississippi (5-1)
24. Georgia Tech (4-1)
25. BYU (5-0)

Monday, November 16, 2009

College Basketball week 2

A little more thought went into this weeks rankings. Last week was a little on the fly.....


1. Kansas (1-0)
2. Kentucky (1-0)
3. Villanova (1-0)
4. Michigan St. (1-0)
5. Texas (1-0)
6. West Virginia (1-0)
7. Butler (1-0)
8. Duke (1-0)
9. Purdue (1-0)
10. Connecticut (1-0)
11. Washington (3-0)
12. North Carolina (3-0)
13. California (2-0)
14. Oklahoma (1-0)
15. Georgia Tech (1-0)
16. Ohio State (1-0)
17. Dayton (1-0)
18. Minnesota (1-0)
19. Michigan (1-0)
20. Tennessee (1-0)
21. Clemson (1-0)
22. Maryland (1-0)
23. Siena (1-0)
24. Syracuse (2-0)
25. Georgetown (1-0)

Garrison Poll : BCS Scenarios

Not that doing a poll isn't a general waste of time. The weekly BCS rankings really make doing a poll a waste of time. Therefore I give you the current BCS scenarios. Plan your viewing accordingly.

Division 1-A FBS Garrison Poll Week 12

Rose Bowl: Ohio State vs Pac 1o

Scenarios: OSU has clinched. Ore clinches by beating Az and Ore.St. Stan clinches by beating Cal, ND, and Az beating Ore. Az and Ore.St need to win and have outside help. In the event of a 3 way tie the highest ranked school will go. In that case inside track goes to Stanford since a loss by Ore @ Az would most likely drop them behind Stan in the BCS. What I want to see: OSU vs Stanford. What we will see: OSU vs Oregon

Fiesta Bowl: Big XII Champ vs At lg

Scenarios: Texas will play the winner of Sat's K.St/Neb in the XII title game. If Texas wins, they go to the BCS championship game. If somehow Tex loses they will still play in the Fiesta Bowl, and the powers that be will send K.St/Neb to the Orange Bowl. I don't see that happening though. What I want to see: Boise St. vs Texas. What we will see: Boise St. vs. Oklahoma St.

Orange Bowl: ACC Champ vs. Big East Champ

Scenarios: Cut and dry,winner of Ga.Tech/Clem in ACC title game will go to Orange Bowl. Pitt/Cinn? If Pitt wins they go to Orange Bowl. If Cinn wins they go to Sugar Bowl. If Cinn wins and gets help, they will be next in line behind Tex to play in BCS Championship Game (Cinn will leapfrog TCU in BCS with win over Pitt). In the case Tex were to lose, Cinn goes to BCS, Big XII goes to Orange, and Tex is at-lg in Fiesta. What I want to see: Ga.Tech vs Nebraska. What we will see: Clemson vs. TCU

Sugar Bowl: SEC-2 vs At-lg

Scenarios: No matter what loser of Ala/Fla will play in Sugar. Cinn plays here if they beat Pitt and Texas doesn't stumble. If Tex falters, Cinn goes to title game and TCU will play in Sugar. This game is pretty easy to figure out. What I want to see: Florida vs. Cincinnati. What we will see: Alabama vs. Cincinnati.

BCS Championship Game: BCS-1 vs. BCS-2

Scenarios: Only 4 teams have a shot to play in this game. The lock is the Fla/Ala winner. Even if one or the other stumbles against Fla St or Auburn respectively. Tex goes if it beat Neb/K St. in XII title game. Cinn goes if Tex loses. If Cinn and Tex both lose? Fla/Ala rematch. Guarenteed. What I want to see: Alabama vs TCU. What we will see: Florida vs. Texas.

Monday, November 9, 2009

Garrison Poll College BBall Division I Week 1

College basketball is back! Tournament play starts tonight as UNC, Cal, 'Cuse, and Ohio State are in action tonight. Here is your Week 1/Preseason Poll. Enjoy.





1. Kansas
2. Kentucky
3. Villanova
4. Michigan State
5. Duke
6. North Carolina
7. Texas
8. West Virginia
9. Purdue
10. Connecticut
11. Butler
12. California
13. Washington
14. Tennessee
15. Georgia Tech
16. Maryland
17. Dayton
18. Louisville
19. Georgetown
20. Minnesota
21. Michigan
22. Ohio State
23. Mississippi State
24. Siena
25. San Diego State

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

One Man's NBA Preview: 2009/10 Edition

Folks,

The NBA season kicks off tonight… While this may not be a big deal to those still firmly entrenched in the NFL season, there are still some die hard NBA fans such as myself in the world and of course there are those poor Raiders and Redskins fans, who have no reason to watch the NFL anymore, so must turn their attention to the NBA. For those folks, I present the annual, One Man's NBA Preview.

10 Questions prior to the upcoming NBA season:

Will the Celtics or Lakers win 72 games?

So Rasheed says that the Celtics can do it. Phillip says that a coastal team would never be able to do it because of the travel times. Frankly, I don't see a team being able to put together 82 games of hard core competitive basketball every night. Especially hated teams like the Celtics and the Lakers. Basically every time the Lakers or Celtics come to town, the games are sold out locally and the home team is pumped up to give their best effort. Basically, every game is a big game for your opponent. The 1996 Bulls were a perfect storm. MJ was coming off his suspension for gambling (don't believe otherwise) , and it was his first full season back, so teams were just in awe of getting to play against MJ again (so not exactly giving their full competitive effort). MJ, perhaps the most competitive person ever, had to reclaim his crown as the league's best player in the game after getting stripped by Nick Anderson in the deciding game of the Orlando series the year before. So MJ was pushing everyone is practice everyday and he had the team to respond because… Rodman was on his best behavior after being booted from the Spurs, Kukoc was excited to be playing with MJ and Pippen was just happy to not have all the pressure on him again. Basically, it all fell into place fort he Bulls and they won 72. I don't see veteran teams like the Celtics or Lakers being able to pull it off.

Can Shaq put together one more season?
I think he has one last good season left in him. Shaq was rock solid last year in carrying a mess of a Suns team. And we all know he's motivated, so he should be in shape and ready to go. Lebron has the personality and the game to mesh well with Shaq. They will put together a solid season and battle the Celtics for the eastern conference championship obviously… the question is whether Lebron and Shaq will be enough. Sadly, the real problem in is Coach Mike Brown. Someone needs to pull his play calling duties like the Redskins did to Jim Zorn. Barring that, I think they fall short to the Celtics.

Crazy summer of free agency… Which title contender added the best new piece? Orlando, Boston, San Antonio, Cleveland, or Lakers?
Vince doesn't play D, so I'm sure he'll bump heads with Coach Ron Jeremy at some point, but he gets to play 4th fiddle to Dwight, Jameer, and Rashard… so no pressure. Rasheed is 35 years old and is a shadow of his under-achieving self. The Spurs added a 29 year old RJ, who is right in his prime, a good fit, but not the shooter that the Spurs need. Cleveland added a 37 year old Shaq, previously discussed. And the Lakers added a 29 year old Ron Artest, who is the wild card in all of this mess. I like all the pick ups with the exception of Vincanity. RJ is the safest pickup. Solid defensively, a nice guy, soft, Spurs-like player. Should fit in well. Artest has the most upside. Gives the Lakers front court toughness, another scorer, takes the defensive pressure off Kobe, allowing him to gamble in the passing lanes more (not necessarily a good thing), but might be create chemistry issues. Artest will need a few more shots than Ariza did, and with Bynum's return, he will need a few shots. The key is can Kobe sacrifice a few shots and drop his average to 24-25 ppg to accommodate his teammates. We'll see if Phil can use his Zen Jedi mind tricks to get everyone to buy in.

Is Portland ready to make the leap?
My guess says no. Bill Simmons doesn’t think that Andre Miller is a good fit. I'm not sure I agree with him. Miller does like the ball, but I think his game can adjust to the talent that he is surrounded with. The real key is Oden. He has looked good in the pre-season and if he stays healthy, then they are dangerous. I'm not sold on Aldridge either. I like my power forwards to dominate the glass… Aldridge thinks he's a small forward. Plus, I’m not sure that Brandon Roy hasn’t already peaked. He’s nice, don’t get me wrong, but I think we are close to his ceiling.

This rookie class is not getting a lot of hype... Anyone for real?
The best player in the draft is playing in Barcelona. Yes, Rubio would have emerged as the best player in this draft in 4 years. He still may… Does a couple of seasons overseas help him? We'll see. Griffin is the truth… a beast, an athlete, good motor; unfortunately he's just stuck in Clipperland. And like most Clipper draft picks (Manning (knee), Harper (knee), Kandi-man (heart))… he’s already injured. Poor kid. Other rookies I like… Jonny Flynn in Minnesota… and the steal of the draft is probably Dujuan Blair for the damn Spurs. Questions about his knees made him a 2nd round pick, but he is a beast and the Spurs once again prove that their front office knows what they are doing.

What player will have the breakout seasons in 2009/10?
Kevin Durant is going to explode this season. Stuck in Oklahoma City unfortunately, but the talented scorer will put up huge numbers this year. Look for him to take the best SF in the league spot away from Melo this season and he will challenge ‘Bron for league scoring leader in 2009/10. He could carry his team to the playoffs with some luck. Also looking forward to year 2 of the Derrick Rose era. Rose is special.

Who are this year's award winners?
RoY: Griffin, though he’s missing 6 weeks. Jonny Flynn perhaps.
CoY: Rick Carlyle… Yeah I said it.
DPoY: Dwight Howard
6th Man: Manu (unfortunately, he’s back)
MVP: Lebron… it's his league. Maybe CP58.

Who will make the playoffs?
West:
1. Lakers (68 wins is possible)
2. Spurs (damn, they are back)
3. Dallas (my sleeper)
4. Nuggets (I think Chauncey has one more run in him, before handing it to Ty Lawson)
5. Utah (Deron Williams is the truth)
6. Portland (not the leap that they were hoping for)
7. New Orleans (CP58 has something to prove… maybe by not having your team lose playoff games by 58)
8. Oklahoma City (I believe in Durant)


East:
1. Boston (Big 3 plus Sheed)
2. Cleveland (underrated pickup is Leon Powe)
3. Orlando (Vince doesn’t have the pressure with Dwight, Jameer and Rashard)
4. Chicago (Rose raises his game)
5. ATL (too much talent here)
6. Washington (Agent 0 has something to prove)
7. Miami (DWade can’t wait to join Rose in Chicago)
8. Toronto (Hedo, Bosh, Calderon, Bargnani… there is something here)

First to 5? Duncan, Shaq, or Kobe? Or does Boston win #19.
We know if comes down to these 4 in the conference finals… unless Orlando crashes the party, which I doubt. I have the Lakers over the Spurs in 6 and the Celtics over the Cavs in 7. Which gives me the rematch that every Laker fan and Kobe himself have been waiting for. Lakers vs. Celtics baby!!! This is where the addition of Ron artest pays off. He’ll make life miserable for Paul “The Wheelchair” Pierce. Jesus is just about done and I think the Lakers big men Lamar/Gasol/Bynum will be too much for KG/Rasheed/ Perkins. Plus Phil Jackson will outcoach Doc in critical moments. Too much firepower in purple and gold… Lakers in 6. Back to Back!!!!

Any predictions for the summer of Lebron?
Lebron stays put… though the Clippers would be sick with him. Dwade to Chicago. Bosh to the Knicks as a consolation prize. Joe Johnson to Miami to replace DWade. Amare to Golden State finally. And my huge call of the year… Rajon Rondo to the Blazers! Just what a young Portland squad needs.

How long did this take?
Time stands still when talking about the NBA… enjoy the ride my friends.

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

FBS Garrison Poll Week 7

With the BCS standings coming out next week it is clear there are not 25 good teams in college football. In fact barely 20. Coincidently the poll has been condensed to 20 teams. Look for Oklahoma to upset Texas this weekend.

Ranking, Record, Previous

1. Florida (5-0, 3-0)1
2. Alabama (6-0, 3-0)2
3. Virginia Tech (5-1, 3-0)8
4. Boise State (5-0, 1-0)3
5. Texas (5-0, 2-0)4
6. Oregon (5-1, 3-0)9
7. Miami, Fla (4-1, 2-1)17
8. USC (4-1, 2-1)5
9. Iowa (6-0, 2-0)7
10. Cincinnati (5-0, 1-0)13
11. LSU (5-1, 3-1)10
12. TCU (5-0, 1-0)12
13. Ohio State (5-1, 3-0)11
14. BYU (5-1, 2-0)18
15. Oklahoma (3-2, 1-0)6
16. Nebraska (4-1, 1-0)nr
17. Georgia Tech (5-1, 3-1)23
18. South Carolina (5-1, 2-1)19
19. Penn State (5-1, 1-1)24
20. South Florida (5-0, 1-0)nr

not ranked: Kansas (5-0, 1-0), Notre Dame (4-1), Oklahoma State (5-1, 1-0), Houston (4-1, 0-1)

Monday, September 28, 2009

FBS Garrison Poll Week 5

Ranking , Record, Previous



1. Florida (4-0, 2-0) 1

2. Alabama (4-0, 1-0) 3

3. Boise State (4-0, 1-0) 9

4. Texas (4-0, 1-0) 2

5. USC (3-1, 1-1) 6

6. Oklahoma (2-1, 0-0) 11

7. Iowa (4-0, 1-0) nr

8. Virginia Tech (3-1, 1-0) 20

9. Oregon (3-1, 1-0) nr

10. LSU (4-0, 1-0) 12

11. Ohio State (3-1, 1-0) nr

12.TCU (3-0, 0-0) 16

13. Cincinnati (4-0, 0-0) 17

14. Houston (3-0, 0-0) nr

15. Oklahoma State (3-1, 0-0) 7

16. Georgia (3-1, 2-0) 19

17. Miami,Fla (2-1, 2-1) 13

18. BYU (3-1, 1-0) 10

19. South Carolina (3-1, 1-1) nr

20. California (3-1, 0-1) 4

21. Michigan (4-0, 1-0) nr

22. UCLA (3-0, 0-0) nr

23. Georgia Tech (3-1, 2-1) 14

24. Penn State (3-1, 0-1) 8

25. Missouri (4-0, 0-0) 25

Big Games on Sat 10/3.... LSU @ GA 12:30 CBS, OK @ Mia 5:00 ABC, USC @ Cal 5:00 ABC


Thursday, September 10, 2009

FBS Garrison Poll Week 2

Ranking Previous
1. Florida (1-0) 1
2. Texas (1-0) 2
3. Alabama (1-0) 5
4. California (1-0) 6
5. Mississippi (1-0) 4
6. USC (1-0) 7
7. Oklahoma State (1-0) 11
8. Penn State (1-0) 9
9. Boise State (1-0) 13
10.BYU (1-0) 19
11. Oklahoma (0-1) 3
12. LSU (1-0) 8
13. Miami, Fla (1-0) 25
14. Georgia Tech (1-0) 15
15. Utah (1-0) 17
16. TCU (1-0) 18
17. Cincinnati (1-0) NR
18. North Carolina (1-0) 16
19. Georgia (0-1) 12
20. Virginia Tech (0-1) 15
21. Kansas (1-0) 21
22. Notre Dame (1-0) 22
23. Oregon State (1-0) 20
24. Nebraska (1-0) NR
25. Missouri (1-0) NR

Saturday, September 5, 2009

FBS College Football Garrison Poll week 1

1. Florida (0-0)
2. Texas (0-0)
3. Oklahoma (0-0)
4. Mississippi (0-0)
5. Alabama (0-0)
6. California (0-0)
7. USC (0-0)
8. LSU (0-0)
9. Penn State (0-0)
10. Ohio State (0-0)
11. Oklahoma State (0-0)
12. Georgia (0-0)
13. Boise State (1-0)
14. Georgia Tech (0-0)
15. Virginia Tech (0-0)
16. North Carolina (0-0)
17. Utah (1-0)
18. TCU (0-0)
19. BYU (0-0)
20. Oregon State (0-0)
21. Kansas (0-0)
22. Notre Dame (0-0)
23. Illinois (0-0)
24. Rutgers (0-0)
25. Miami,Fla. (0-0)

others receiving consideration: Florida St., Nebraska, Cincinnati, Michigan St., Iowa, South Carolina, Oregon

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Thoughts From a Cowboy Fan Who Doesn't Get It

Comments from Ace the Guru,
Strangely, I have to agree with Ilya here. I think Matty has this division upside down. The division comes down the to Redskins and Cowboys. It's that simple. The Skins as always made a splash in free agency with Big Albert Haynesworth. A huge addition to a defense with was pretty solid last season. Add in another year of continuity for Jason Campbell in Jim Zorn's offense and you have to respect this team. Regarding the Cowboys (I know I'm biased), but I'll just this... Wasn't this team the consensus "most talented" team last year? So what changed? They removed the distactions in Pacaman and Owens (yes, he's talented, but it's still addition by substraction). Throw in a healthy Felix Jones to the fully stocked backfield of Barber and Choice, and you have a little something. Plus a full training camp of Romo working with Roy Williams. Not to mention the development of last year's rookie corners Jenkins and Scandrick, along with a healthy Newman. I'll go to battle with the talent level of that O and D. I'm not solid on Philly (too old, too many injuries, too much of McNabb's choking ass). And the Giants are done. Eli is overpaid and very average without Plaxico... and the workhorse Jacobs can't stay healthy.So basically it comes down tot he Skins and Cowboys in the NFC East.
August 11, 2009 2:47 PM

Can Someone Proof Read This

Thoughts from Gellar,
So matty is going with a tried and true "copy the most popular predictions" strategy. I have sommethign to say about NFCe.I think this devision is going to be a lot closer then anyone emagines with the worst team again being 8-8. Any of these teams can finish first or last in the division.Each team has question marks, but also most got better in the off season. Lets start with the popular pick.EAGLES - Do not understand why everyone is so high on this team? They barely snuck in to the playoffs in last year and did play fairly well in them. But what changed this year?(+) upgraded O-line = checkDrafted a WR and a RBOkay so the run game will be upgraded and Mcnab might have more time to throw to the rookie WRs. We really dont know what to expect here. Rookie WRs ususally dont play well first year. Jackson has showed himslef to be inconsistent last year and Maclin is an unknown. The rest dotn scare anyone.(-) what they lostperhaps one of the all time best D-coordinators. A veteran leader safety and early enjuries to starting LBs.-Can they overcome the D losses? Will the young WRs be effective.Finished with a 2-4 div record in 08GIANTSEli can't get it doen without Buress.. it's that simple. The D might be good enough to still win the division but games will not be as easy as they were in 08.CowboysOwens is gone.. and so are the excuses. I don't believe Roy Williams (career underacheiver except for one season) can get it done. That coupled with chemistry and leadership issues. Look for another sub-par performance. SKINS(+)Upgraded the #4 D with Haynesworth and Orakpo. Will be even more dominant this year. 2nd year for campbell and the O. 2nd year rooky WRs will finally contribute.(-)The Oline got little upgrade and will again be the cause of the teams problems this year. But this time the D might be good enough to give a struggling O more scoring chances. This team finished 8-8 in 08 with a late season collapse. Dont see them finishing worse then 9-7 this year.
August 11, 2009 12:43 PM

2009 NFL Preview (AFC North)

The Pittsburgh Steelers return virtually their entire roster that won it's 6th Super Bowl Championship last season while playing the league's toughest schedule. The powers that be have rewarded the champs with the 5th easiest schedule entering the 2009 season. Will that equal another title?

Predicted Order of Finish
1) Pittsburgh Steelers - Should win more games than last yr.
2) Baltimore Ravens - Flip a coin with Tenn for last playoff spot.
3) Cincinnati Bengals - Could finish .500 or better.
4) Cleveland Browns - Fewest wins in league is possible.

Impact Veteran Newcommers
Laveranues Coles - Bengals

5 Rookies Who Could Blow Up
Michael Johnson, DE (3rd, Georgia Tech) - Bengals
Michael Oher, OT (1st, Mississippi) - Ravens
Rey Maualuga, ILB (2nd, USC) - Bengals
Brian Robiskie, WR (2nd, Ohio State) - Browns
Mohamed Massaquoi, WR (2, Georgia) - Browns

5 Fantasy Winners
Santonio Holmes, WR - Steelers
Steelers Defense
Carson Palmer, QB - Bengals
Derrick Mason, WR - Ravens
Ravens Defense

5 Fantasy Losers
Willie Parker, RB - Steelers
Braylon Edwards, WR - Browns
Willis McGahee, RB - Ravens
Joe Flacco, QB - Ravens
Jamal Lewis, RB - Browns

5 Fantasy Team Make-or-Breakers
Cedric Benson, RB - Bengals
Bengals Defense
Chad Johnson, WR - Bengals
Hines Ward, WR - Steelers
Rashard Mendenhall, RB - Steelers

End Game
Cincinnati is closer to Baltimore than Baltimore is to Pittsburgh going into the season. The Bengals have quietly built a roster of college winners with talent. Baltimore's running game doesn't dazzle and if forced to throw to win I don't like those odds. While in Cleveland it has been proven many times over that QB controversies don't pay. They have no chance until a quaterback is chosen once and for all. As for Pittsburgh. Another division title seems likely. However familiar foes, SD and NE, await come playoff time.





Thursday, August 6, 2009

2009 NFL Preview (NFC East)

In a recent radio interview, former head coach Herm Edwards, was asked who he would take into battle in big game, Donovan McNabb or Tom Brady. Edwards without hesitation said McNabb. Guess that's 1 of the reasons Herm doesn't have a coaching gig any more. As for McNabb's Eagles this season? This might be their best chance to win the Super Bowl.

Predicted Order Of Finnish
1. Philadelphia Eagles - McNabb has weapons. Now can he deliver.
2. New York Giants* - Offense has to be able to stretch the field.
3. Dallas Cowboys - Good defense, bad quaterback.
4. Washington Redskins - Don't worry, Mike Shannahan takes over next yr.

Key Veteran Additions
Albert Haynesworth, DT - Redskins

5 Rookies Who Could Blow Up
Jason Williams, OLB (3rd, Western Illinois) - Cowboys
LeSean McCoy, RB (2nd, Pitt) - Eagles
Cornelius Ingram, TE (5th, Florida) - Eagles
Hakeem Nicks, WR (1st, North Carolina) - Giants
Robert Brewster, OG (3rd, Ball State) - Cowboys

5 Fantasy Winners
Donovan McNabb, QB - Eagles
Cowboys Defense
Jason Witten, TE - Cowboys
Brandon Jacobs, RB - Giants
Chris Cooley, TE - Redskins

5 Fantasy Losers
Tony Romo, QB - Cowboys
Santana Moss, WR - Redskins
Brian Westbrook, RB - Eagles
Redskins Defense
Jason Campbell, QB - Redskins

5 Fantasy Team Make-or-Breakers
Clinton Portis, RB - Redskins
Roy Williams, WR - Cowboys
DeSean Jackson, WR - Eagles
Eli Manning, QB - Giants
Giants Defense

End Game
The Eagles have everything in place to win. What worries me is past failures. New York is every bit talented as Philly but come playoff time can the offense stay consistent. Dallas simply can't win with their quaterback, and Washington skill players will begin to show their age as the season goes on.






Wednesday, August 5, 2009

Thoughts from Big Guns

As for the AFC South, I am surprised to see Houston picked as the division leader. While I will admit they have the easiest schedule on paper heading into the season Indy and Tenn still have to be the class of the division (at least until they get beaten). Indy should be an improved team this year. The loss of Marvin won’t hurt much as he was not the Marvin of 3 years ago. Getting younger and quicker at that spot will be a good thing. Plus they now have a legitimate 1-2 punch at RB which will take heat off the passing game and wear out defenses more. Payton is also not battling the knee injury which held him out of camp and plagued him all season. The fact that he will be working with the team in camp will make him better this year and raise his production. They also had injuries on D last year that are forgotten about (Sanders). Look for this team to come back with a vengeance and take the division. Tenn is also potentially improved, or at least as good. The loss of Albert will be felt but they have another sack artist on the DL already plus they drafted a replacement for him as well. While I don’t expect anyone to step into his shoes and fill the position at the same level, I also don’t expect the D to suddenly give up big games left and right. Their D is still very tough. While the O will not post 35 on a regular basis 24 is an adequate target per game and that will be tough for almost any opponent to score on their D.

As for the AFC West I look for Denver to be better than Oakland. Oakland has an alright D with a couple good players on O but not much to work with. They have had many questions so far about the dedication of their players, and ability to work together. If Garcia gets the job they could be ok, since he won’t they will suffer below 500 again. KC is also getting credit they have not earned. While the addition of Cassle could be nice, he had one great year with a ton of talent and potentially the best coach in the game currently. Removing him from the system could be more devastating that anyone assumes. KC has also lost some talent this year in their most productive receiver. It will mean good things for the stat line on Bowe, but the D’s will also be able to focus on him more now to. Johnson hasn’t shown anything for a couple years, so it is good to hear he has gotten himself in better shape but he needs to do something before he earns my trust as a game changer again. They are on the rebound for future years, but are still a year or two away from contending in the division. Denver is a team with enough weapons to jump up and surprise people and they are my wild card for the year. They could have a bust season and they could be the Miami of 09. Two great WR’s, a rookie RB who could potentially win rookie of the year, decent QB, and a D that has potential. Not to say they are super bowl bound but beating Oakland and KC twice is a legitimate possibility, which means 8 or 9 wins is within reach. If they win 9 they finish 2nd in the division.

All in all I like the blog, keep it up.

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2009 NFL Preview (AFC South)

Tennessee Titans RB LenDale White recently claimed his reason for losing 30lbs was giving up tequilla shots. In honor of this move I will give out 30 shots on his behalf, 1 for each pound. (8 shots)The Indianapolis Colts will make the playoffs for the 8th straight season. (9 shots)Jacksonville QB, David Garrard will only throw 9 td passes in what will be a miserable season for the Jaguars. (10 shots)The Titans might win 10 games and not make the playoffs. (3 shots)It's year 3 of the Gary Kubiak Era in Houston and if history is any barometer the Texans will win the AFC South.

Predicted Order of Finish
1. Houston Texans - Yr 3 of the Kubiak Era = division title.
2. Indianapolis Colts* - Will win 10 games, again.
3. Tennessee Titans* - Tequilla shots are on LenDale.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars - Just a dull team.

Veteran Additions
Torry Holt, WR - Jaguars
Nate Washington, WR - Titans
Antonio Smith, DE - Texans

5 Rookies Who Could Blow Up
Brian Cushing, OLB (1st, USC) - Texans
Donald Brown, RB (1st, Connecticut) - Colts
Jarett Dillard, WR (5th, Rice) - Jaguars
Eugune Monroe, OLT (1st, Virginia) - Jaguars
Ryan Mouton, CB (3rd, Hawaii) - Titans

5 Fantasy Winners
Peyton Manning, QB - Colts (proj rd.2)
Andre Johnson, WR - Texans (proj rd.2)
Chris Johnson, RB - Titans (proj rd.1/2)
Reggie Wayne, WR - Colts (proj rd.2)
Maurice Jones- Drew, RB - Jaguars (proj rd.1)

5 Fantasy Losers
Torry Holt, WR - Jaguars
Joseph Addai, RB - Colts
Kerry Collins, QB - Titans
Jaguars Defense
Adam Vinatieri, K - Colts

5 Fantasy Team Make-or-Breakers
Anthony Gonzalez, WR - Colts
Matt Schaub, QB - Texans
Texans Defense
Steve Slaton, RB - Texans
Nate Washington, WR - Titans

End Game
If Matt Schaub can stay healthy for the entire season then Houston has a great chance to win the 1st division title in it's 8 yr existance. Condidering he has missed 9 starts in the last 2 seasons that's a big IF. The Colts have a new coach and no Marivn Harrison but still should get to the playoffs and go farther than Houston. Tennessee will miss Albert Haynesworth on defense and not score enough to offset the loss. Jacksonville is boring and will wollow with the also-rans of the conference.
- Tomorrow NFC East

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

2009 NFL Preview (AFC West)

No division going to 2009 is in more disary than the AFC West. Kansas City parted ways with the most prolific TE of all time, and has a new coach. Oakland's QB, JaMarcus Russell, arrived at training camp overweight proclaiming at least he wasn't 300lbs. San Diego had a very public contract dispute with franchise RB LaDainian Tomlinson that became ugly. While Denver suffered the mother of all offseason collapses. If firing the 2-time Super Bowl winning coach isn't enough. They traded the franchise QB, received trade demands from the Pro Bowl WR, and to top things off, the top draft pick is currently holding out. All of this in timely fashion as the AFC West interlocks with the superpower NFC East this year. Good luck with that.

Predicted Order of Finish
1. San Diego Chargers - How can they not win this division?
2. Kansas City Chiefs - There's a rumor Larry Johnson will bounce back this season.
3. Oakland Raiders - At least they can run the ball.
4. Denver Broncos - No comment.


Veteran Newcomers
Matt Cassel, QB - Chiefs
Brian Dawkins, S - Broncos

5 Rookies Who Could Blow Up
Alphonso Smith, CB (2nd, Wake Forest) - Broncos
Ryan Succop, K (7th, South Carolina) - Chiefs
Louis Murphy, WR (4th, Florida) - Raiders
Robert Ayers, DE (1st, Tennessee) - Broncos
Daivd Burton, FS (4th, Notre Dame) - Broncos

5 Fantasy Winners
Phillip Rivers, QB - Chargers (Proj rd.3)
Dwayne Bowe, WR - Chiefs (Proj rd.3)
Vincent Jackson, WR - Chargers (Proj rd. 4/5)
Nate Kaeding, K - Chargers (Proj rd.10/12)
Chargers Defense (Proj rd.10/12)

5 Fantasy Losers
Brandon Marshall, WR - Broncos
LaDainian Tomlinson, RB - Chargers
Javon Walker, WR - Raiders
Matt Cassel, QB - Chiefs
Antonio Gates, TE - Chargers

5 Fantasy Team Make-or-Breakers
Larry Johnson, RB - Chiefs
Knowshon Moreno, RB - Broncos
Mark Bradley, WR - Chiefs
Darren McFadden, RB - Raiders
Darren Sproles, RB - Chargers

End Game
Unless something completely random happens the Chargers will win this division and could even make the Super Bowl with a little luck. The others, not so good an outlook. KC can't protect the passer, Oak can't complete a pass, and Denver is simply the most disfunctional franchise in pro football going into the season.
- Tomorrow AFC South-

Monday, August 3, 2009

2009 NFL Preview (NFC North)

"Garrison Poll"
2009 NFL Preview- NFC North
It's been 13 seasons since an NFC North team has won the Super Bowl. With the additions of QB Jay Cutler in Chicago and muscle in the Green Bay defensive front 7, this division is closer than you might think to being the strongest in the conference and getting back to the big game, and winning.
Order of Finish - *denotes wild card
1. Green Bay Packers - An improved defense will be the difference.
2. Minnesota Vikings*- Hangovers are never good, especially the Brett Farve type.
3. Chicago Bears - Cutler's town, Urlacher's team. Interesting.
4. Detroit Lions - Might win a couple of times this season.
Impact Veteran Newcommers
Jay Cutler, QB - Bears
Sage Rosenfels, QB - Vikings
5 Rookies Who Could Blow Up
Juaquin Eglesias, WR (3rd Oklahoma) - Bears
Clay Matthews, OLB (2nd, USC) - Packers
Brandon Pettigrew, TE (1st, Oklahoma St.) - Lions
Louis Delmas, S (2nd, W.Michigan) - Lions
Phil Loadholt, OT (2nd, Oklahoma) - Vikings
5 Fantasy Winners
Matt Forte, RB - Bears (no.1 overall)
Adrian Peterson, RB - Vikings (proj rd. 1st)
Calvin Johnson, WR - Lions (proj rd. 2nd)
Kevin Smith, RB - Lions (proj rd.2)
Greg Olson, TE - Bears (Proj rd 5/6)
5 Fantasy Losers
Devin Hester, WR - Bears
Matthew Stafford, QB - Lions
Vikings Defense
Ryan Grant, RB - Packers
Visanthe Shiancoe, TE - Vikings
5 Fantasy Team Make-or-Breakers
Greg Jennings, WR - Packers
Jay Cutler, QB - Bears
Packers Defense
Jermichael Finley, TE - Packers
Earl Bennett, WR - Bears
End Game
If you haven't noticed I like Green Bay. If potential reaches expectations the Packers can get to the conference title game, if not further. However, Minnesota lacks the quaterback and Chicago lacks the intangibles to get past wild card weekend. Detriot skill players will be fantasy producers but wins/losses will be on par with the worst of the league.
-Tomorrow, AFC West