Thoughts from Big Guns

As for the AFC South, I am surprised to see Houston picked as the division leader. While I will admit they have the easiest schedule on paper heading into the season Indy and Tenn still have to be the class of the division (at least until they get beaten). Indy should be an improved team this year. The loss of Marvin won’t hurt much as he was not the Marvin of 3 years ago. Getting younger and quicker at that spot will be a good thing. Plus they now have a legitimate 1-2 punch at RB which will take heat off the passing game and wear out defenses more. Payton is also not battling the knee injury which held him out of camp and plagued him all season. The fact that he will be working with the team in camp will make him better this year and raise his production. They also had injuries on D last year that are forgotten about (Sanders). Look for this team to come back with a vengeance and take the division. Tenn is also potentially improved, or at least as good. The loss of Albert will be felt but they have another sack artist on the DL already plus they drafted a replacement for him as well. While I don’t expect anyone to step into his shoes and fill the position at the same level, I also don’t expect the D to suddenly give up big games left and right. Their D is still very tough. While the O will not post 35 on a regular basis 24 is an adequate target per game and that will be tough for almost any opponent to score on their D.

As for the AFC West I look for Denver to be better than Oakland. Oakland has an alright D with a couple good players on O but not much to work with. They have had many questions so far about the dedication of their players, and ability to work together. If Garcia gets the job they could be ok, since he won’t they will suffer below 500 again. KC is also getting credit they have not earned. While the addition of Cassle could be nice, he had one great year with a ton of talent and potentially the best coach in the game currently. Removing him from the system could be more devastating that anyone assumes. KC has also lost some talent this year in their most productive receiver. It will mean good things for the stat line on Bowe, but the D’s will also be able to focus on him more now to. Johnson hasn’t shown anything for a couple years, so it is good to hear he has gotten himself in better shape but he needs to do something before he earns my trust as a game changer again. They are on the rebound for future years, but are still a year or two away from contending in the division. Denver is a team with enough weapons to jump up and surprise people and they are my wild card for the year. They could have a bust season and they could be the Miami of 09. Two great WR’s, a rookie RB who could potentially win rookie of the year, decent QB, and a D that has potential. Not to say they are super bowl bound but beating Oakland and KC twice is a legitimate possibility, which means 8 or 9 wins is within reach. If they win 9 they finish 2nd in the division.

All in all I like the blog, keep it up.

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